Daesh Won’t Last Long
Why does Daesh look to establish a base in Jordan? Jordan had no place within the geographical limits of the Islamic Government of Iraq and the Levant. Therefore, does Daesh’s presence in this country indicate that this group intends to expand its geographical border to Jordan and then to North Africa?
After its movements in Iraq, this terrorist group felt that it could expand its realm and, considering its ignorant look at the issues and its violent viewpoints which are not accepted by any Islamic sects, secure its position so that it could safeguard its political, security and military capacities. Therefore, by using the support of certain countries, it is attempting to strengthen its confidence which has been reduced after its defeats in Iraq. At the same time, this group needs economic and political support and that is why it highlights its presence in Jordan and recently it has declared its presence in North Africa as well. These moves are mainly intended for propaganda. Although it is possible that some movements such as the al-Nusra Front or others could support them, they do not have the power to cooperate with each other because of the weakness in the structure of these groups. Even western countries do not dare express their support for the Takfiri terrorist groups. This shows that the public opinion of the world does not accept such measures. Nevertheless, there is no prospect for the success of this group because they were not successful in Syria either. On one hand, due to their deviated ignorant thoughts, the Arab countries are now concerned because this group is not committed to any ethical or international laws.
What reasons have prevented Daesh from attacking Baghdad, on one hand, and the oil resources, on the other? Does Daesh intend to draw its borders close to Jordan and Saudi Arabia with long-term goals?
Since Daesh is supported by the Zionists, it intends to strengthen their footprint. This group attempts to use the financial, military and political supports of some countries in order to create a safe haven for itself and establish a government in that region. That is why they believe that this region to be Jordan because from one side it is close to Saudi Arabia and from another to Syria and it could also use the separatist capacities of some groups in northern Iraq.
Will this issue inflame the Persian Gulf littoral states as well or will it lead to the disintegration and further division of these countries?
It is obvious that the enemies seek to disintegrate the region. They make efforts to reach their dream but they will never succeed. They state that another Israel must be created in the region; a fake country which could be formed like Israel which invaded the Palestinian territories. But the conditions are not suitable for them to stay for long. Basically, those movements whose ideology is based on violence, terror and oppression cannot sustain themselves. How would it be possible for the bitter experience which was created by Israel where parts of the Islamic countries were captured by the Zionists to be repeated in Iraq and for them to establish a government? If some countries attempt to support this group, they should be certain that they will soon be the victims of this group and no countries, not even the western countries and the US and the Arab states, will be safe from their attacks.
It is said that many of the Jordanian Jihadists (armed individuals) have come, under the flag of Daesh and the al-Nusra Front, from the poor southern city of Ma’an which is faced with economic problems and unemployment. How could the government of Jordan prevent the people of this city from being attracted to Daesh? Will the measures taken by this group to fight against the monarchial system be supported by the people?
Based on reports, it can be said that some people have supported Daesh. The people of these countries, especially Jordan, assume that if they joined Daesh, they would be able to achieve their demands due to the capabilities of this group in having arms. Therefore, economic problems, poverty and instability in some deprived regions might intensify this matter. Daesh may also take advantage of the conditions of these people including their impoverishment. Of course, the countries of the region must act intelligently with regard to this issue. If there are economic problems in parts of their countries, they must attempt to resolve them and not allow the Takfiri groups to take advantage of these conditions. The government must consider the views of the opposition and share power with them. Domestic problems and the dissatisfaction of the people must not give an excuse to groups such as Daesh to take advantage of this situation.
Meanwhile, Netanyahu has expressed his concern over the threat of Daesh’s terrorist acts against Jordan. This is while some members of this group who were wounded in Syria have been transferred to Israel and treated by Israeli doctors. Why is Netanyahu concerned about the presence of this group in Jordan?
If Israel feels that its interests are in contradiction with Daesh’s presence, it will react accordingly. Israel supported this group when its interests were safeguarded. Of course, groups like Daesh will not consider anyone’s interests when they reach power. They have recently threatened to attack Saudi Arabia. They are against religious and sacred places. If one day Israel feels that Daesh is against its interests and those of its allies and that they could be damaged by them, it will react.
Netanyahu has ordered the construction of a wall of separation along its border with Jordan. In case of Daesh’s activities in Jordan, will Israel take arms against this group?
Israel attempts to control the situation by exerting pressure in order to prevent such an incident. They did not assume that Daesh would enter Jordan. That is why they are first attempting to show their concern and then take measures to control and direct them towards the path that they want. It is natural that Daesh’s presence in Jordan would threaten Israel’s interests. That is why they intend to build a wall to prevent them from entering Israel. But Jordan is not a limited country where walls could be built along all of its borders. Jordan has extensive borders.
To what extent could the threat against Israel’s national security by Daesh, which is the US’ red line, lead to direct military intervention by the US?
Although the Zionists supported Daesh’s movements in Iraq and even told the US and the western countries not to intervene, when they found out that this might happen to themselves as well and could be a fire which would entangle them, they felt threatened and expressed their concern to the US. But it is possible that this group would attack the supporting countries in order to attract further support. They may intend to say that if you do not support us, we will threaten your interests. But the US and Israel also know that Daesh is not a powerful group which could establish a powerful government or army, thus, they could silence them if they wished. Hence, if the US and the Zionists feel that these groups are a threat against their interests, they will react.